filkertom: (Default)
[personal profile] filkertom
How many more oil rigs have to go BOOM before people figure a cleaner, safer alternative to oil?

ETA: Interesting. Other reports say it was a natural gas rig. There seems to be a difference of opinion as to whether or not it was producing, and whether or not there's a mile-long sheen of oil in the Gulf from the rig.

Some hardcore factifying would really help right about now.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 06:08 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] jeffreyab.livejournal.com
A cleaner, safer alternative to oil?

There is not one sadly, only major changes in the way we live.

More walking and more public transit and only after there is not more oil.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 06:20 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lizziecrowe.livejournal.com
the solutions CAN be made to work, but they work better often on an individual basis as opposed to mass access with little lifestyle change. Our overly disposable mindset needs to shift before we can step away from one of the key elements that put us there, namely oil. Other factors contributed, like over-population and non-renewable resources. We CAN make the changes, but people have to be willing to shift how they live and how they think. You're right, most are reluctant.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 06:36 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] catnip13.livejournal.com
Can we? If giving up driving 90 miles a day means giving up the health insurance one needs for the medicines that keeps ones diabetes, or epilepsy, or bipolar under control, is it an option? (this is the best example I can think of, right now).

The system that depends on the oil is so entrenched, it's a matter of survival to perpetuate it. How do we break it?

(disclaimer: this is not a why bother to try, it's an honest question. I'm fortunate enough that we were able to move to be closer to my husband's job after a few months. I can afford organic, local food and have the skills and tools to cook from scratch. I compost, garden, recycle, use reusable flipping toilet wipes. But I have no illusions that all of my eco-conscious lifestyle choices are a matter of privelidge.)

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 06:51 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] jeffreyab.livejournal.com
In that case the health care system needs to change to say somthing like an earlier model where the primary care physician lived in the community.

Medevac for critical cases.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 07:22 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] catnip13.livejournal.com
I'm talking about the daily commute to the job that provides the health insurance, not trips to the doctor. Sorry, should have made that clearer.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 06:57 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lizziecrowe.livejournal.com
And it's a very fair question! I'm not asking you to give up the job that has that health insurance, but would you be willing to drive a car that runs on something other than oil? What if you could charge up enough batteries off the solar panels on your roof that you could do EVERYTHING you do now in your home while it rained for 7 days straight? (Granted, if it rains for 7 days, you’re probably more worried about flooding. :) )

You’re absolutely right, we need solutions that will ease up into going without oil but that can still support the culture we have built or it will NEVER work. But we need to move more steadily in that direction and allow for such technologies to become readily available as opposed to the oil companies buying up the patents for these projects and then sitting on them. I think that’s what Tom was saying.

The health care/health insurance debate is not up for this post, but it’s another solid question. Cheers!

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 07:07 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] filkertom.livejournal.com
Precisely. There is no magic solution out there, but that's no reason not to make the incremental steps -- in some cases, fairly large ones -- that get us on the right road.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 12:57 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] catnip13.livejournal.com
Purely hypothetical situation in this case, but a realistic one. There are GOOD reasons that people that care can't do everything theoretically possible. And it sucks, but the dependency is so deeply ingrained into the system that it's going to take something drastic to change things.

The ones that get me are the ones that don't care at all.

We try. We're lucky enough to have a home with a guaranteed long term rental agreement, long enough that it was worth it for us to invest in a half dozen fruit trees (we have a total of 8 on our property, 2 are mature enough to be good producers) and a big raised bed garden. We eat almost exclusively local perishables, almost no processed food, organic, and vegan. We drive less than 200 miles a week. We use almost nothing disposable- our weekly trash is less than what a paper grocery sack holds. We vermicompost and recycle. Other than my husband's uniforms for work and my pants (I'm a hard to find size) almost all our clothes are secondhand. Cars, computers, furniture, all secondhand. Our electric bill is half what is standard in our area.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 07:19 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] catnip13.livejournal.com
But what about those who can't afford to buy another car that runs on something else? Or solar panels? I mean, I'd love to drive something more fuel efficient, my car gets 40mpg and I drive as little as I can, but a new, or even decent used car is not in my financial reach, and I'm solidly middle class.

It's a mess, is what it is.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 07:31 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lizziecrowe.livejournal.com
You're right about that. Mess is the right word.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 08:39 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] umbran.livejournal.com
What if you could charge up enough batteries off the solar panels on your roof that you could do EVERYTHING you do now in your home while it rained for 7 days straight?

That's a big what if, though. If I have my numbers right....

On broad average (like, including that there's nighttime, but not including clouds), the sun provides about 250 watts of power per square meter. YOur standard 2-story, 3 bedroom house has a footprint on the order of 700 square feet, or 65 square meters. So, a typical house is good for about 13,000 watts, on broad average. That sounds good.

But, the current record for solar cells is about 24% efficiency. That 13,000 watts is now down to 3000 watts. Your typical home uses between 500 and 1000 watts, if you aren't using electricity for heating or cooling. So, let us just say you've got 2000 watts left.

A car uses something like 1.5 kw-hours per mile. So, with what's left on your house, for every hour you charge your car, you can go 1.25 miles. So, your house will get you maybe 30 miles driving a day.

This, as I noted, is on average, and not counting cloud cover. We'd need to go a long way before this becomes practical.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 08:58 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] catnip13.livejournal.com
Well, honestly, 30 miles would cover all of my driving needs most days. I drive more than that maybe one or two days a month.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 09:07 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lizziecrowe.livejournal.com
Very true, but the point here is to GET that far. to MAKE these advancements, to ALLOW that to be a possibility instead of a reason not to try and let big oil keep destroying whole ecosystems. You're right, we're pretty far from where we would need to be, but we still need to keep going.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 01:01 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] catnip13.livejournal.com
What's also a problem is the materials needed to manufacture solar panels. Roofing everything in them would be great, but do we actually have enough of the resources to DO that? Electrical grade copper is getting rare. So is silicon.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 01:59 am (UTC)
kengr: (Default)
From: [personal profile] kengr
Copper may be getting rare. Silicon isn't. It's one of the most common elements on Earth.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 04:10 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fionn320.livejournal.com
High quality pure silicon suitable for solar panels is actually not as common as people tend to think. You can't just melt down beach sand and make a solar panel.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 12:07 pm (UTC)
kengr: (Default)
From: [personal profile] kengr
No, you have to refine the silicon from the sand. But that's essentially where they get it. From sand.

But you could start out with most sorts of common rock. Quartz is best, of course. And granite has a significant amount of quartz in it. Basalt would be a pain, but you could do it.

Whatever you start with once you've extracted relatively pure silicon dioxide from it, then you get to refine it. A nasty process involving lots of chlorine and other things (recyclable, thoughh).

Once you get that reduced to hyper-pure silicon, then you are at the piont a company I worked at for 12 years. Growing the single crystal ingots. And producing silicon wafers from that.

They spent six months teaching us about the entire process before we started working there.

Anyway, trust me, silicon could get more expensive, if they have to extract it from harder to work with rocks. But we aren't going to run out.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 07:04 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nagasvoice.livejournal.com
I have great hopes some of the newer solar tech (such as the nano types with back mirrors that pass the light through a film several times for greater efficiency) will improve these numbers.
I've been going back ot urban and suburban planning shortfalls. A great deal of the problem originates in how work and residential areas are laid out. Why should people have a 50 mile commute to what they can afford to live in? One of our big problems is building booms in older styles, leaving us hardscapes that don't get changed much later on, and don't adapt very well. Why should we all be commuting into central downtown cores, or to big office parks, for instance?

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 01:56 am (UTC)
kengr: (Default)
From: [personal profile] kengr
Work out the amount of energy needed by the car. Then work out how much solar panel area you need. Add in the amount needed for the house. Don't forget to allow for cloudy days, short winter days etc.

In many places, the answer will be bigger than your lot. :-(

Besides, liquid hydrocarbon fuel is a lot better energy storage medium than any battery that can be produced in the numbers you'd need to replace current gasoline and diesel fueled vehicles.

Rather than converting the cars to electric, it makes better sense to convert to making fuel without using oil. It can be done. It's just expensive (even so, it'd be more practical in the long run).

Alas, *all* the alternative cost a *lot* more than using oil. And there are ecological costs, not just monetary ones. Solar cells and batteries have environmental costs in their production too.

Doesn't mean we shouldn't try. Just that it's not going to be easy.

And we have to watch out for "solutions" that work ok on a small scale but are a *disaster* when scaled up. Ethanol as fuel is one of those. At least as long as they are producing it from food crops instead of the *waste* from food crops.

That's part of what's driven up food prices... :-(

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 04:14 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] catnip13.livejournal.com
It would take something like 90% of the land that is currently under cultivation for food crops to produce anything close to enough biofuel to meet the projected demand.

Now if everyone in the country were to stop eating red meat and dairy, that might still be feasable. But the vast majority of folks aren't even willing to discuss that.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 04:30 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ldyerzsie.livejournal.com
Red meat and dairy are why I'm still alive. Before getting diagnosed with Graves, meat and dairy and eggs were the only things that kept me on my feet. I still don't properly digest most plant material. My system moves it thru too fast.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-05 06:09 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] catnip13.livejournal.com
As you just said, your system is not a typical one. All the more reason to save what can be produced sustainably for those who actually NEED it.

You have two choices

Date: 2010-09-05 03:52 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] urban-terrorist.livejournal.com

Move to Canada, or force your politicians to act in your favor. The United States is the only industrialized country without good health care (no, ObamaCare doesn't count - it's a piece of total junk). Curiously the United States is also the only industrialized country that allows corporations to interfere in politics.

Makes you wonder about the connection, doesn't it?

Re: You have two choices

Date: 2010-09-05 06:05 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] catnip13.livejournal.com
Ha ha. Can't move to Canada, my husband owes child support arrears from when he was in vocational rehab and had no income and can't get a passport or visa because of it.

I have a lot of friends who are libertarians and very opposed to national health care. I'm not 100% thrilled with the government making health care decisions for me, but I'm FAR less thrilled with a corporation that is motivated by profit doing so.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 04:18 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ldyerzsie.livejournal.com
Hey, man, I'm doing my part to prevent overpopulation. There will be NO procreating in my uterus. Oh, yes. That is taken care of.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 06:42 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] umbran.livejournal.com
How many rigs have to go boom? I was discussing that with a friend of mine...

Do you realize that in the Gulf alone, there's like 5000 rigs? Statistically, yes, you're going to have one or another go boom on occasion. Having a couple of them go boom without much time between them isn't much more than an anomaly.

If you get five or so of them in a row going boom, that's one in a thousand - a tenth of a percent - and that's getting more into realms of systematic problem than random chance.

A cleaner, safer alternative? Well, you can't power a population of nearly seven billion souls without having major impact on the world, and risk of worse. That's thermodynamics.

The best alternative for which we currently have the technology is probably nuclear fission. Done properly, cribbing majorly from the French, it might not be too bad - but it still wouldn't be Utopian-level clean and safe.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 07:33 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] tcgtrf.livejournal.com
Umbran's 100% right on the fission model. The French have a significant energy surplus *and* recycle their fission products. The amount of damage done by oil production is trivial compared to that done by coal mining, transport, and burning. It's awful stuff that wreaks decades-long havoc on the mining-area ecosystems as well as the lives of miners and their families.

As our economy moves firmly from a "spend money you haven't got" to a "Oh-my-God, we've got to hold on to every penny because we may never work again" system, the amount of money available to do hour-plus commuting just won't be there. I predict that tangibles--goods and services you have to go somewhere to obtain--will be much more localized in ten years than they are now with the return of self-sufficient neighborhoods.

Tom

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 07:40 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] filkertom.livejournal.com
No matter what else happens, I'm encouraged by the rise of urban farming and people actually getting to know their neighbors again. In some cases, the small groups are able to manage as well as or better than larger groups, out of sheer tactical agility.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 04:19 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] tcgtrf.livejournal.com
One of the tragedies of the suburbs was the loss of both viable city neighborhoods and the small-town life of my childhood. I think that suburbs have served their purpose. The city landscapes are going to look very different soon.

We've got our front yard plowed up for strawberries and flowers. Not sure what the full plan is for the back. We do have to eliminate the rabbits and squirrels (or at least reduce their numbers), but we've got a wrist rocket and plans to turn the shed in the back into a hat-making operation. Champaign, unfortunately, has laws against owning chickens, or we'd have our own eggs, too.

Tom T.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 07:09 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nagasvoice.livejournal.com
There may be people in your town agitating to overturn the anti-chicken law, though. Urban chickens are getting more popular, with some pretty fancy coops and chicken tractors available. Salmonella scares may only drive this harder. I can understand the increasing popularity. We've been cutting back on various other expensive sources severely, so that eggs have been most of the conventional protein for us the last month or so.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 04:35 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ldyerzsie.livejournal.com
Double check. Apparently Indy and it's townships have those laws, too. And I happen to know some people that have a sizeabe flock here in town. Of course, they are breeding heirloom chickens and there is apparently a loophole for that.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-02 07:06 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] randwolf.livejournal.com
Lots more coverage: http://news.google.com/news/more?pz=1&cf=all&ned=us&ncl=de3AIyVzRRwRo7MQIzIe5NakwiIJM&topic=h

Grrr... *rant on*

Date: 2010-09-02 08:04 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] realinterrobang.livejournal.com
This is precisely why I have such a major grudge against GM. The mass-transit infrastructure we now need used to be there, in large part, and if it had been expanded upon instead of dismantled, we (North Americans) wouldn't be in nearly as much of a mess as we are now. If we had kept the infrastructure we had had in, say, 1930 and been adding onto it progressively even up until the late 1970s when it might still have become politically unfeasible to do it large-scale, we'd still be in a much better position than we are now.

GM was essentially the catalyst for the social changes which resulted in the dismantling of that system, so I have a grudge.

The electricity required to run a system of inter- and intraurban electric rail does not necessarily need to be generated by petrochemicals (or coal, for that matter, Niagara Falls generates quite a bit of electricity, for instance), and would still equal a net energy savings.

While I'm blue-skying, I'd really like to know what would have happened if electric cars like the Milburn (http://www.milburn.us/history.htm) (30mph and 100 miles on a charge in 1918) hadn't been driven out of production by gasoline-powered cars and a disastrous fire (funny how that happened to Edison too), and we'd had the incentive of electric cars driving the development of light-weight, heavy-duty batteries between the nineteen-teens and now. We'd likely be in much better shape.

*sigh*

Date: 2010-09-02 09:12 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ysabetwordsmith.livejournal.com
>>How many more oil rigs have to go BOOM before people figure a cleaner, safer alternative to oil?<<

The problem is that the mainstream American society is trained along consumer/profit lines, not along lines that would consider harm to humans and environment as prevailing factors. So the tipping point would be if petroleum products become too expensive to support our current economy. We can only use the "too much harm" filter if we redesign society to consider that important.

Re: *sigh*

Date: 2010-09-02 09:37 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] catnip13.livejournal.com
It true. So many people don't care enough to bother with even the simple things that are within their reach to change. (I've watched my mother walk out of a store with a plastic bag with a reusable bag clipped to her purse, simply because it doesn't matter enough to her to stop a checkout clerk once the first item is in the plastic bag.

Re: *sigh*

Date: 2010-09-03 03:39 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] capt-video.livejournal.com
If the clerk is so fast that I fail to stop them from putting my stuff in a plastic bag, I'll go ahead and take it--- I know I'll recycle it, whereas the clerk will throw it away.

My Mom's next door neighbor called the city to take away her recycling bin. Why? The city SELLS the items you recycle! And that's HER money!!! Cost of trash pick-up with recycling option? $63. Cost without recycling? $63.

My brother (with 4 teens) refuses to recycle. Too much trouble, takes too much time. He also lives in an area where recycling is picked up for free.

I have been mocked for years by my relatives for "trying to save the world". I keep pointing out, I don't have any kids, when I'm gone... I'm gone. It's their children I'm doing this for.

Re: *sigh*

Date: 2010-09-05 12:00 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ericthemage.livejournal.com
It's not training, and it's not central to America. The large floating plastic islands in the ocean are from the world, not just us. It's someone making a choice between cost/convenience/immediate needs as opposed to impact on everyone else. It's world wide and not going to change anytime soon.

The problem with trying to stop people from going along consumer/profit lines is that if people only bought what they absolutely needed, a lot of people would lose their jobs.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 03:04 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] strredwolf.livejournal.com
The rig is a producing oil/natural gas rig (it did both) and the current spill is from their reserves, at last report from CBS News.

That said, we need to get on the thorium nuclear standard to help kill our dependency on oil. It's cheap as dirt, more powerful than uranium, rarely degrades to plutonium, and the reactors are much much smaller.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-03 09:09 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-caton.livejournal.com
So long as it wasn't BP's....

anything to do with TransOceanic?

Don't get me started

Date: 2010-09-05 04:00 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] urban-terrorist.livejournal.com

One of the big issues, is that in the United States at least, corporations have too much political power. For example did you know that the Tea Party is funded heavily by Koch Industries? Koch Industries is the largest privately owned oil and coal producer. Curiously, the Tea Party advocates policies that Koch has spoken in favor of, like closing the Environmental Protection Agency.

If you want to have an effect, you have to become politically active. You have to encourage your neighbors to become politically active, and help them encourage their neighbors.

One person can't save the world, but one person can start an avalanche! Be that one person.

(no subject)

Date: 2010-09-06 09:51 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] smparadox.livejournal.com
People have figured out plenty of cleaner and/or safer alternatives to oil, but none of them are cheaper than oil...

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